Papers Submitted for Publication

These are MAPP funded CMIP5 Task Force-related papers that have been submitted for publication to the listed journals. Included are their submission dates.

Note: Due to copyright issues, papers will be taken down as soon as they have been accepted by their respective journals.

Journal of Climate - North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments (Special Collection)

This special collection of Journal of Climate is devoted to North American climate and related processes in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) experiments, and organized by the CMIP5 Task Force of the NOAA Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program. The core of the special collection consists of three comprehensive articles that summarize CMIP5 models’ ability to represent 20th century North American 1) continental and regional climate and 2) intraseasonal to decadal variability, and provide 3) model projections of North American climate for the end of the 21st century. Papers providing more detailed examination of specific aspects of North American climate accompany these three core studies. The specialized contributions not only include direct examination of North American climate, but also global climate phenomena relevant to North American climate. Topics covered by the special collection include regional precipitation and temperature, snowpack, the hydrologic cycle, growing season length, land-atmosphere interactions, extreme events including drought, Arctic sea ice, the North American monsoon, the Great Plains low-level jet, the “warming hole”, extratropical and tropical cyclones, intraseasonal variability, ENSO and its teleconnections, Pacific decadal variability, and the Atlantic warm pool. How CMIP5 results compare to those from CMIP3 are discussed. Model bias and how it affects interpretation of future projections is also explored.

Overview Papers (Parts I, II, III)

  1. Justin Sheffield, Andrew Barrett, Brian Colle, Rong Fu, Kerrie L. Geil, Qi Hu, Jim Kinter, Sanjiv Kumar, Baird Langenbrunner, Kelly Lombardo, Lindsey N. Long, Eric Maloney, Annarita Mariotti, Joyce E. Meyerson, Kingtse C. Mo, J. David Neelin, Zaitao Pan, Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, Yolande L. Serra, Anji Seth, Jeanne M. Thibeault, Julienne C. Stroeve, North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part I: Evaluation of Historical Simulations of Continental and Regional Climatology. Journal of Climate, submitted.
    Accepted On: May 3, 2013
  2. Justin Sheffield, Baird Langenbrunner, Joyce E. Meyerson, J. David Neelin, Suzana J. Camargo, Rong Fu, Qu Hu, Xianan Jiang, Kristopher B. Karnauskas, Seo Tae Kim, Sanjiv Kumar, Jim Kinter, Eric D. Maloney, Annarita Mariotti, Zaitao Pan, Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, Sumant Nigam, Richard Seager, Yolande L. Serra, De-Zheng Sun, Chunzai Wang, Jin-Yi Yu, Nathaniel Johnson, Shang-Ping Xie, Tao Zhang, Ming Zhao, North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of Historical Simulations of Intra-Seasonal to Decadal Variability. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: May 24, 2013
  3. Eric D. Maloney, Suzana J. Camargo, Edmund Chang, Brian Colle, Rong Fu, Kerrie L. Geil, Qi Hu, Xianan Jiang, Nathaniel Johnson, Kristopher B. Karnauskas, James Kinter, Benjamin Kirtman, Sanjiv Kumar, Baird Langenbrunner, Kelly Lombardo, Lindsey N. Long, Annarita Mariotti, Joyce E. Meyerson, Kingtse C. Mo, J. David Neelin, Zaitao Pan, Richard Seager, Yolande Serra, Anji Seth, Justin Sheffield, Julienne Stroeve, Jeanne Thibeault, Shang-Ping Xie, Chunzai Wang, Bruce Wyman, and Ming Zhao, North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments: Part III: Assessment of 21st Century Projections. Journal of Climate, submitted.
    Accepted On: October 1, 2013


  1. Lindsey Long, Kingtse Mo, Jae-Kyung Schemm, Drought and Persistent Wet Events Projected in the CMIP5 Experiments. Journal of Climate, submitted.
    Submitted On: July 25, 2012
  2. Leila M. V. Carvalho, Charles Jones, CMIP5 Simulations of Low-Level Tropospheric Temperature and Moisture over Tropical Americas. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: March 15, 2013
  3. Rong Fu, Nelun Fernando, Lei Yin, Tong Ren, Ze Yang, Adam Bowerman, Robert E. Dickinson, Assessing Future Changes of Climate and Drought over the South-Central United States Projected by the CMIP5 Models. Journal of Climate, submitted.
    Submitted On: July 31, 2012
  4. Meng-Pai Hung, Jia-Lin Lin, Wanqiu Wang, Daehyun Kim, Toshiaki Shinoda, Scott J. Weaver, MJO and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves Simulated by CMIP5 Climate Models. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: February 1, 2013
  5. Brian A. Colle, Zhenhai Zhang, Kelly A. Lombardo, Edmund Chang, Ping Liu, Minghua Zhang, Historical evaluation and future prediction of eastern North America and western Atlantic extratropical cyclones in the CMIP5 models during the cool season. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: March 25, 2013
  6. Zaitao Pan, Xiaodong Liu, Sanjiv Kumar, Zhiqiu Gao, James Kinter, Inter-model variability and mechanism attribution of central and southeastern U.S. anomalous cooling in the 20th century as simulated by CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: March 1, 2013
  7. Jiang, Xianan, Eric D. Maloney, Jui-Lin F. Li, Duane E. Waliser, 2013: Simulations of the Eastern North Pacific Intraseasonal Variability in CMIP5 GCMs. J. Climate, 26, 3489–3510.
    Accepted On: October 31, 2012
  8. Paul A. Dirmeyer, Yan Jin, Bohar Singh, Xiaoqin Yan, Evolving land-atmosphere interactions over North America from CMIP5 simulations. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: March 14, 2013
  9. Kumar, Sanjiv, James Kinter, Paul A. Dirmeyer, Zaitao Pan, Jennifer Adams, 2013: Multidecadal Climate Variability and the “Warming Hole” in North America: Results from CMIP5 Twentieth- and Twenty-First-Century Climate Simulations. J. Climate, 26, 3511–3527.
    Accepted On: November 28, 2012
  10. Suzana J. Camargo, Global and regional aspects of tropical cyclone activity in the CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: August 8, 2013
  11. Hailong Liu, Chunzai Wang, Sang-Ki Lee, David Enfield, Atlantic Warm Pool Variability in the CMIP5 SimulationsJournal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: February 18, 2013
  12. Gabriel A. Vecchi, Rym Msadek, Whit Anderson, You-Soon Chang, Thomas Delworth, Keith Dixon, Rich Gudgel, Anthony Rosati, Bill Stern, Gabriele Villarini, Andrew Wittenberg, Xiasong Yang, Fanrong Zeng, Rong Zhang, Shaoqing Zhang, Multi-year Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency: Promise and limitations. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: February 8, 2013
  13. Zou, Y., J.-Y. Yu, T. Lee, M.-M. Lu, and S. Kim: CMIP5 simulations of the changing impacts of El Nino on US winter temperature, Journal of Climate, submitted.
    Submitted On: July 31, 2013
  14. J. David Neelin, Baird Langenbrunner, Joyce E. Meyerson, Alex Hall, Neil Berg, California winter precipitation change under global warming in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 ensemble. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: March 22, 2013
  15. Baird Langenbrunner, J. David Neelin, Analyzing ENSO teleconnections in CMIP models as a measure of model fidelity in simulating precipitation. Journal of Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: January 16, 2013
  16. Seth, A., S. Rauscher, M. Biasutti, A. Giannini, S. Camargo, M. Rojas, 2013: CMIP5 Projected Changes in the Annual Cycle of Precipitation in Monsoon Regions, Journal of Climate, early online release, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00726.1.
    Accepted On: May 20, 2013
  17. Thibeault, J. and A. Seth, 2013: A Framework for Evaluating Model Credibility for Warm Season Precipitation in Eastern North America: A Case Study of CMIP5 Simulations and Projections, Journal of Climate, revised.
    Submitted On: July 31, 2013
  18. Chang, EKM, 2013: CMIP5 projection of significant reduction in extratropical cyclone activity over North America, J. Climate, early online release.
    Accepted On: August 5, 2013
  19. Lin Chen, Yongqiang Yu, De-Zheng Sun, Cloud and Water Vapor Feedbacks to the El Niño Warming: Are They Still Biased in CMIP5 Models? Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Iss. 14, pp. 4947-4961.
    Accepted On: January 6, 2013

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