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Earth System Science and Modeling Division

CPO's Earth System Science and Modeling (ESSM) Division supports research to advance understanding of the Earth system.

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts--so people can protect themselves and their property--we need to understand global patterns and climate variability and change. And to help manage and conserve coastal resources and marine ecosystems, we need to understand and monitor our oceans and coasts.

The ESSM Division is actively building the global and regional scale understanding needed to improve predictions. The program coordinates an array of researchers from federal agencies, national labs, and universities, focusing them on the most pressing climate research necessary to advance NOAA's prediction and other services and applications.

The ESSM Division comprises five programs: Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP), Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP), Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, & Climate (AC4), Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM), and Earth's Radiation Budget (ERB).

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ESSM Newsletters

Winter 2018-19

Summer 2020

Winter 2020-21

Summer 2021

Winter 2021-22

ESSM News

Verifying the Reliability of Satellite Formaldehyde Measurements 26 May 2023

Verifying the Reliability of Satellite Formaldehyde Measurements

A new AC4-supported validation study compares formaldehyde observations taken from two satellites to ground observations to ensure accuracy for tracking harmful pollution in Earth’s atmosphere.

Seasonal ocean forecasts to improve predictions of Dungeness crab catch rates 26 May 2023

Seasonal ocean forecasts to improve predictions of Dungeness crab catch rates

A new MAPP-funded study works with both state and tribal fishery managers to improve West Coast Dungeness crab catch rate models.

How Well do CMIP6 Models Represent Important Wind Flow in the Boundary Layer? 19 May 2023

How Well do CMIP6 Models Represent Important Wind Flow in the Boundary Layer?

A comparative analysis of CMIP6 models and their representation of wind-turning reveals underestimation across the board, in a new Climate Process Team study supported by CVP.

North American Marine Heatwaves: How Do Sea Surface and Sea Floor Heat Waves Compare? 19 May 2023

North American Marine Heatwaves: How Do Sea Surface and Sea Floor Heat Waves Compare?

A new MAPP funded study looks at the difference between sea surface and sea bottom marine heatwaves.

Climate Drivers of Declining Water Resources in the Tigris–Euphrates River Basin 12 May 2023

Climate Drivers of Declining Water Resources in the Tigris–Euphrates River Basin

Depleting water resources in the Tigris–Euphrates river basin is primarily driven by interannual drought and plant transpiration processes, with additional impact from decadal scale declining rainfall, according to the results of a new COM-funded modeling study.

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Contacts


Division Chief

P: 301-734-1185
E:

Clara Deck
Communications Specialist
P: (202) 964-1088
E:

Dr. Sandy Lucas
CVP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1253
E:

Virginia Selz
CVP Program Manager
 P: 301-734-1265
E:

Jose Algarin
CVP Program Specialist
E:

Victoria Breeze
Program Manager
P: (301) 734-1200
E:

Dr. Greg Frost
Acting Program Manager
P: (720) 530-3641
E:

 

Modeling, Analysis, Predictions & Projections (MAPP)

Dr. Daniel Barrie
Acting MAPP Program Director
P: 301-734-1256
E:

David Benson
MAPP Program Analyst
P:
E:

Courtney Byrd
MAPP Program Specialist
P: 301-734-1257
E:

Dr. Daniel Barrie
MAPP Program Manager
P: 301-734-1256
E:

Virginia Selz
Federal Liason, CPO
P: (301) 734-1265
E:

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Americans’ health, security and economic wellbeing are tied to climate and weather. Every day, we see communities grappling with environmental challenges due to unusual or extreme events related to climate and weather. 

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