Real-time predictions

The NMME produces predictions out to seven months on the National Weather Service (NWS) operational schedule. These predictions are relied upon by NWS Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasters to generate a variety of products, including U.S. temperature and precipitation anomaly outlooks, the Drought Monitor, and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts.

The NMME system has provided routine real-time seasonal forecasts since August 2011 that adheres to the NCEP/CPC operational launch schedule.

CPC prediction graphics:
Current NMME-based predictions of near-surface air temperature, sea surface temperature (SST), and precipitation rates:

Questions about these prediction graphics should be addressed to Qin Zhang or Emily Becker.  

COLA ENSO plume graphics:
A new visualization of archived and real-time NMME ENSO forecasts developed by COLA
Brief description

The colored lines represent the current ensemble mean ENSO forecasts for each individual model system in the NMME. The histograms (sets of colored rectangles) convey the forecast probabilities of different ENSO conditions based on the entire multi-model system.

→ Latest ENSO Forecast


→ Archive of COLA's Plume Diagrams

Questions about these prediction graphics should be addressed to Jennifer Adams

Archive of CPC NMME forecast graphics
The NMME prediction graphics made in real time during 2011-present are archived by CPC and available via their website (September 2011–present).


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